← All Ratings
Matt Hotopp
NCA-1015Rank #105
NCASECNECT
Current Rating2.320
Uncertainty (σ)0.419
Conservative (μ−3σ)1.063
Events Played13
FlickSkill Over Timehow the system's estimate of your skill has evolved
Not enough trace coverage yet. Historical rating traces are currently tracked for the top-100 active NCA players. As your event history grows, your past traces will appear here.
The yellow line is the system's current best estimate of your skill at each point in your history — a smooth arc that reflects everything FlickSkill now knows, with the benefit of hindsight.

Tournament Results

US Open 2026· Apr 25, 2026 · DoublesPlace 30th of 60Tier 1 · FSI 1.223Beat 30 teams
Pre-tracking
Turtle Island 2025· Aug 2, 2025 · SinglesPlace 25th of 30Tier 1 · FSI 1.207Beat 5 players
Pre-tracking
US Open 2025· Apr 26, 2025 · DoublesPlace 26th of 56Tier 1 · FSI 1.212Beat 30 teams
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NY Singles 2025· Feb 22, 2025 · SinglesPlace 7th of 24Tier 2 · FSI 0.701Beat 17 players
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NCS Singles 2025· Jan 11, 2025 · SinglesPlace 5th of 40Tier 2 · FSI 0.647Beat 35 players
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NCS Doubles 2025· Jan 11, 2025 · DoublesPlace 1st of 18Tier 2 · FSI 0.654Beat 17 teams
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Vermont 2024· Nov 16, 2024 · SinglesPlace 6th of 20Tier 3 · FSI 0.447Beat 14 players
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Brooklyn Doubles 2024· Sep 21, 2024 · DoublesPlace 13th of 19Tier 2 · FSI 0.698Beat 6 teams
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Turtle Island 2024· Aug 3, 2024 · SinglesPlace 22nd of 34Tier 1 · FSI 1.140Beat 12 players
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US Open 2024· Apr 20, 2024 · DoublesPlace 27th of 42Tier 1 · FSI 1.058Beat 15 teams
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US Open 2023· Apr 29, 2023 · DoublesPlace 11th of 32Tier 1 · FSI 0.987Beat 21 teams
Pre-tracking

How the chart is built

The yellow Skill Arc is FlickSkill's current best estimate of your true skill at every point in your history — a smooth curve fit across all data, including events that happened after each point. It's the most accurate retrospective view, but it keeps moving every time the system learns from a new tournament.

The green Published Rating is what the leaderboard showed at the time. Each green dot is the endpoint of TTT's view right after that tournament was processed, with no future data yet — that's the rating you would have actually seen on the public page. The green line never moves once an event is locked.

The gap between green and yellow at any event is how much FlickSkill has re-learned about your skill since — wider gaps mean later results pulled the system's view of that event up or down. Hover a point to see both values plus the felt change since the previous event.

The blue dotted lines are past traces — each shows the full Skill Arc as FlickSkill saw it after a previous tournament. The slider controls how many overlap. Together they show how the system's view of your whole history evolves over time.